Spotlight
The Envelope Please ...
Here's to all the "little people" of '08. You know, the ones who aren't always in the limelight but w/out whom, the storyline of this incredible year would not have been possible:
-- Best Supporting Actors In A Primary/Caucus: DNC rules cmte, superdelegates, Huck IA mgr Chip Saltsman. And, the two most prescient voices on the IA caucuses, Ann Selzer and Mike Henry.
-- Best Comedy Series: Romney's family vacation w/dog, MSNBC's intra-family feud; Gravel's "ads" and "campaign". And, of course, SNL.
-- Best Drama: K. Kilpatrick, NV's Gibbons, NY's Spitzer and John Edwards. Good job, gents.
-- Best "Comeback Kids": Daschle, from defeated leader to poss. WH CoS or cabinet sec; Powell, no longer remembered just for his '02 U.N. speech; Dean and his 50-state strategy. (Then again, the ultimate winner here might be McCain).
-- Best "Apology" Ads: Stevens tells AK that he's innocent; FL's Feeney makes "rookie" mistake w/ Abramoff; MN's Franken admits he's sometimes "gone too far;" and MN's Bachmann says she "doesn't always get [her] words right."
-- You'll be up late, and we'll be right there with you. Check out "On Call", early and often, for The Hotline's special election night coverage.
Quote of the Day
"The first thing that will happen will be the end of public opinion polling as an industry in the United States, and it would probably be the end of political punditry."
— Dem strategist James Carville, on a McCain upset, "American Morning," CNN, 11/4.
Top News
Dixville Delivers
Obama captures the Notch, 16 to 5; Meanwhile McCain camp warns of wayward exit polling. (#71) (#34)
Here Comes The Flood?
The final EC scoreboard shows Obama w/353, McCain at 174; will today's turnout keep McCain in the game? (#57)
How's This For Timing?
Palin-appointed probe clears her of any Troopergate wrongdoing. Oh, and she releases Rx records 11/3 - at 10:37 p.m. (#36)
That's The Ticket
Fake sample ballot in MS says Wicker's a Dem; even if there's big black turnout, will this ultimately sink Musgrove? (#96)
Get Your Scorecards Here
Check out The Hotline's overview of where consultants, candidates and groups played in '08. If we missed something, or got it wrong, let us know. We'll update 11/5.
Contents Tuesday, Nov. 4, 2008
Today's Frontpage
- BALLOT INITIATIVES: Let's All Go Gamble In OH, Smoke Pot in MI And Treat Our Animals Humanely in CA
- REMATCHES: Who Will Get Revenge?
- EX-FILES: Are We Missing Anyone?
- LEGACIES: Surely There Must Be More Kids Than Just These
- MINORITIES: Minority Report
- WOMEN: This One's For The Ladies
- BAILOUT VOTE: Will They Need Their Own Bailout?
- CONSULTANT SCORECARD: Jockeying To The Finish Line
- BUSH: Don't Stand So Close To Me
- CHENEY: It's The Good Vice That You Just Didn't Take
- CLINTON: The Hills Are Alive
- HUCKABEE: Son Of A Preacher Man
- GIULIANI: You Make Me Feel Brand New York
- GORE: Shallow Al
- LAURA BUSH: Luck, Be A First Lady
- ROMNEY: Once Mitten, Twice Shy
Election Scorecards
- CLUB FOR GROWTH: Getting Ready To Swing
- DEFENDERS OF WILDLIFE: And The Next Richard Pombo Is...
- EMILY'S LIST: Ladies' Night
- EMPLOYEE FREEDOM ACTION COMMITTEE: Can Possibly Go 3 For 14 Here
- FREEDOM'S WATCH: Freedom Is Certainly Not Free
- LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS: A League Of Their Own
- MAJORITY ACTION: Expanding The Majority
- NATIONAL FEDERATION OF INDEPENDENT BUSINESS: Joe The Plumber Spreads The Wealth
- NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION: An Army Unto Themselves
- NATIONAL RIGHT TO LIFE: To Life, To Life, L'Chaim
- NARAL: Choose Us!
- PATRIOT MAJORITY: Don't Question Our Patriotism!
- REALTORS: Betting The House
- SEIU: The Purple Wave
- U.S. CHAMBER OF COMMERCE: Made Of Money
- VETS FOR FREEDOM: Never Surrender
Election Scorecards -- Interest Groups
- GENERAL ELECTION: Day Of Wreckoning?
- MCCAIN: This Is The End, Beautiful Friend
- OBAMA: Not Even An Accidental Run-In Could Make Republicans Smile
- PALIN: Those Stickers Mean Free Stuff
- BIDEN: No One-Word Answers Here
- BARR: I'm A Big Kid Now!
- NADER: Why Doesn't Anybody Like Me?!
- CANDIDATE AIR TIMES: Done And Done
- WHAT TO WATCH: Who, What, When, Where And Why?
- POLL CLOSING TIMES: When Do The Polls Close?
- EARLY VOTING: Early Vote Snapshot
- WEATHER FORECAST: Come Rain Or Come Shine
- BATTLE FOR THE POPULAR VOTE: You Can Call Me Al Gore
- ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST TRACKING: Sign Of The Times Square
- DAILY KOS TRACKING: Judgement Day-ta
- IBD/TIPP TRACKING: It's All The Way Five
- GWU BATTLEGROUND TRACKING: Where's The Rest Of You?
- REUTERS/C-SPAN/ZOGBY TRACKING: Out Of Nowhere
- CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES: Gray, Lady, Gray
- FOX NEWS/OPINION DYNAMICS: The Dynamics Duo
- IPSOS/MCCLATCHY: Over The Top
- MARIST COLLEGE: The Pride Of Poughkeepsie
- 2008 SCHEDULES: Every New Beginning Comes From Some Other Beginning's End
- WHAT'S NEXT?: Congratulations. How Soon Can You Start?
White House 2008
- BATTLE FOR THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE: Just A Joe Six Pack Shy
- COLORADO (9 EVS): Dirt Devils
- FLORIDA POLL (27 EVS): We'll Always Have Harris
- FLORIDA (27 EVS): Cast Away
- GEORGIA POLL (15 EVS): Life's A Peach
- GEORGIA (15 EVS): I Am Waiting. I Am Waiting. Oh Yeah, Oh Yeah
- INDIANA POLL (11 EVS): I Have To Be Home By 6pm For My Program
- INDIANA (11 EVS): Look Who Finally Showed Up
- MISSOURI POLL (11 EVS): Cardinals Red Or St. Louis Blue?
- MISSOURI (11 EVS): How To Succeed In Missouri Without Really Trying
- MICHIGAN (17 EVS): Motor City Madmen
- MONTANA (3 EVS): A Helena Turnout
- NEVADA POLL (5 EVS): Once Upon A Time
- NEVADA (5 EVS): The Biggest Little Election In The World
- NEW HAMPSHIRE (4 EVS): First In The Nation
- NEW MEXICO (5 EVS): Enchanted At The Polls
- NORTH CAROLINA POLL (15 EVS): Divided We Stand In Line At The Polls
- OHIO POLL (20 EVS): Two-Point Conversion
- OHIO (20 EVS): We're Number One!
- PENNSYLVANIA POLL (21 EVS): Obama's For An NCAA Playoff
- PENNSYLVANIA (21 EVS): Keystone Is The Only Key
- VIRGINIA POLL (13 EVS): Power Lines
- VIRGINIA (13 EVS): Sticking To The Plan
- WEST VIRGINIA POLL (5 EVS): The Sole Stronghold Swing
- WEST VIRGINIA (5 EVS): All's Well That Ends Well
- WISCONSIN POLL (10 EVS): Badger Of Honor
- WISCONSIN (10 EVS): Temps Cheesed Off
White House 2008 -- The Battleground States
- ALASKA POLL (3 EVS): We'll Know More Tomorrow
- CALIFORNIA (55 EVS): Records In The Field
- CONNECTICUT (7 EVS): Whew -- That Was Close
- WASHINGTON POLL (11 EVS): More Scores & Highlights At 11pm
White House 2008 -- Other State Updates
- BLOGOMETER: So, What's Your Prediction?
National Briefing
- ALASKA POLL: Begich Bin Ein Senator
- ALASKA: It Really Was A Dog And Pony Show
- COLORADO: No Solitary Affair
- GEORGIA POLL: According To Jim
- GEORGIA: It's Such A Tired Game, Will It Ever Stop?
- KENTUCKY: One Of Us Will Definitely Win
- MAINE: Where America's Voting Begins
- MISSISSIPPI: Election Shenanigans Start Early
- MINNESOTA: Only Time Will Tell
- NEW HAMPSHIRE: Will Shake Hands For Votes
Senate 2008
- FLORIDA POLL: In The Sunshine Of Your Gov.
- GEORGIA POLL: Peachy Keen
- OHIO POLL: Sherrod The Wealth
- PENNSYLVANIA POLL: Nothin' But Love
- WASHINGTON POLL: Machine Wash Only
- WISCONSIN POLL: I Feel Fein
In The States
- CRIST: Charles In Charge?
- JINDAL: Change They Can Believe In?
- THUNE: It's Always The Quiet Ones You Least Expect
White House 2012
- MOMS' TAKES: Because They Said So
- DEMS: Fighting Back Against Lieberman's Red Sweater
- DODD: Not Sticking His Neck Out
- NELSON: Curiously Optimistic
- GIBBONS: So High On Life, He May Never Come Down
- BLUNT: All In A Day's Work
- PRESS PASS: Newspapers Have Needs, Too
- POLICE LOG: It Was Probably An Emergency
- NEWS BAZAAR: Baristas Know When You're Lying
People
- MEDIA MONITOR: This Morning
Media Monitor
??? Overlooked ???
Revenge May Be Sweet, But It's Rare
Considering all House rematches on the ballot today, the most are occuring in TX this year (5), with 4 re-matches apiece in CA, FL, NY, and PA. But those are all big states, and it's probably more impressive that 4 of the WA's 9 House races (plus the GOV race) are rematches, as are 2 of 3 NV House contests. Today also represents the fourth consecutive head-to-head contest between the Dem and GOP nominees in IN-01 and IN-09.
