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Monday, Nov. 10, 2008The Hotline's Briefing on House Races

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Spotlight

'Tails Between Their Legs

The two House races that were called over the weekend showed surprising results, but only because the winners bucked very strong WH coattails to prevail. They were also aided by challengers who weren't well-suited to take advantage of that top-of-the-ticket help.

-- Dave Reichert's (R-WA 08) 52-48% win over '06 nominee Darcy Burner (D) means he actually did better in King Co. than he did in their '06 squeaker. Considering Pres-elect Obama delivered a smashing performance there, that's quite an accomplishment. But while Reichert's indie image helped him overcome that wave, the liberal Burner just wasn't the right fit for this business-oriented CD. The late dust-up over whether she received an econ. degree only exacerbated her problems.

-- And in MD-01, Queen Anne's Co. Atty Frank Kratovil (D) overcame John McCain's strong performance to defeat state Sen. Andy Harris (R). Why? Because Harris was from the wrong part of the CD. On the Eastern Shore, where Kratovil hailed and where 56% of the vote was cast, McCain won a 25K-vote plurality over Obama. But Kratovil took a nearly 21K-vote edge out of there. Harris' so-so performance in his Annapolis base just wasn't enough to overcome those devastating Eastern Shore numbers.

-- The lesson: campaigns and candidates still mattered, even though the WH race appeared to take all the oxygen out of the room.

Top News
  • '10 Most Wanted

    Speaker Pelosi (CA-08) gets DCCC Chair Van Hollen (MD-08) to commit to one more cycle at the cmte, but Van Hollen also gets other duties.

  • Cavalier Attitude?

    Atty Perriello (D) holds a slim lead and claims victory in VA-05, but Rep. Goode (R) won't concede the race.

  • Any Old 'Port In A Storm

    The DCCC begins airing its first TV ad in LA-04 for the 12/6 general. Shockingly, it attacks phsyician Fleming (R) on the "fair tax" and Social Security.

  • You're Such A Moran

    Rep. Moran (R-KS 03) files paperwork for SEN bid, marking our first open seat for '10.

Contents Monday, Nov. 10, 2008

Recent Editions
  • Friday, Nov. 7, 2008
  • Thursday, Nov. 6, 2008
  • Wednesday, Nov. 5, 2008
  • Tuesday, Nov. 4, 2008
  • Monday, Nov. 3, 2008

Today's Frontpage

    Still In Play

  • OHIO 15 (R/COLUMBUS -- PRYCE): Down To 149...
  • VIRGINIA 05 (R/CHARLOTTESVILLE -- GOODE): I Won, If I Do Say So Myself
  • ALASKA AT-LARGE (R -- YOUNG): Still Waiting On Three Precincts, And Lots Of Absentees
  • CALIFORNIA 04 (R/ROSEVILLE -- BROWN): This Isn't Ending Anytime Soon...

    Special Elections

  • ILLINOIS 05 (D/CHICAGO -- EMANUEL): Are You Ready To Rahm-ble?

    Open Seats

  • LOUISIANA 04 (R/SHREVEPORT -- MCCRERY): No Rest For The Battle Weary

    National Briefing

  • DCCC: Have A Nice D-Trip? See You Next Fall

    Campaign 2008

  • OHIO 02 (R/BATAVIA -- SCHMIDT): National Woman Of Mystery
  • WASHINGTON 08 (R/BELLEVUE -- REICHERT): The Sheriff Rides Again
  • COLORADO 04 (R/GREELEY -- MUSGRAVE): Musgrave Will Never Surrender
  • CALIFORNIA 44 (R/RIVERSIDE -- CALVERT): As Confusing As The 60/91/215 Interchange
  • NEW YORK 29 (R/CORNING -- KUHL): Start Counting
  • NEW MEXICO 02 (R/ROSWELL -- PEARCE): Out Of Their Teague
  • MARYLAND 04 (R/SALISBURY -- GILCHREST): Oh, To Be Frank

    Campaigns of 2010

  • FLORIDA 22 (D/FT. LAUDERDALE -- KLEIN): Up And Adam?
  • NEW JERSEY 05 (R/PARAMUS -- GARRETT): Come To Think Of It, Maybe A '10 Bid Isn't Such A Great Idea
  • FLORIDA 19 (D/BOCA RATON -- WEXLER): Attention Graber
  • WISCONSIN 08 (D/GREEN BAY -- KAGEN): Old Gard?
  • KANSAS 01 (R/SALINA -- MORAN): When You Keep Winning With 80%, It Gets Kinda Boring

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