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Friday, March 12, 2010The Hotline's Briefing on House Races

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Spotlight

Slash And Burns

Now that PA-12 GOPers have picked businessman Tim Burns (R) to be their nominee, the 5/18 special election field is now set. But will '08 nominee Bill Russell (R), who promises to run in the 5/18 primary, be a drag on the GOP's chances?

-- To make sure he doesn't hurt the GOPers' chances, Russell promises not to attack Burns personally. Instead, he says, he'll attack the selection process and the GOP leadership that passed him over. That ploy worked well for Doug Hoffman (C) in NY-23, but he also had a GOP challenger with plenty of liberal credentials to attack. Russell won't be so lucky with the Tea Party-aligned Burns.

-- Burns' profile will also hurt Russell's chances to run against GOP insiders. Hoffman had an "Albany insider" to attack; Russell will have a businessman. In fact, Russell's biggest attack on Burns is that he doesn't have DC experience. In this climate, is that really a bad thing?

-- Russell has the cash and name ID to both hurt Burns in the special against ex-Murtha staffer Mark Critz (D), and to give him a tough primary. But does he have a compelling enough message to make a difference?

Top News
  • Reed All About It

    Monroe Co. Exec. Brooks (R) says she won't run for ex-Rep. Massa's (D-NY 29) seat, effectively clearing the way for Corning Mayor Reed (R) to win the GOP nod.

  • Down The Pike

    Ex-journalist Pike (D) may have all the cash for a contest against Rep. Gerlach (R-PA 06), but physician Trivedi (D) is running away with county party endorsements.

  • Expect The Expected

    Ex-Rep. Sodrel (R) carries a big lead over the IN-09 GOP primary field. Of course you'd expect that from someone that's been on the ballot for four straight cycles, right?

  • What's The Big Dealer?

    Will Rep. Souder (R-IN 03) have a strong primary challenge? With car dealer Thomas (R) planning to spend $500K on the contest, Souder's $165K warchest isn't looking too impressive.

Contents Friday, March 12, 2010

Recent Editions
  • Thursday, March 11, 2010
  • Wednesday, March 10, 2010
  • Tuesday, March 9, 2010
  • Monday, March 8, 2010
  • Friday, March 5, 2010

Today's Frontpage

    Special Elections

  • NEW YORK 29 (D/CORNING -- MASSA): Executive Decision
  • PENNSYLVANIA 12 (D/JOHNSTOWN -- MURTHA): That Burns

    Open Seats

  • GEORGIA 07 (R/DULUTH -- LINDER): Snells Like Victory
  • INDIANA 04 (R/LAFAYETTE -- BUYER): Let Me Show You Around
  • MASSACHUSETTS 10 (D/CAPE COD -- DELAHUNT): Import Carr?
  • OKLAHOMA 05 (R/OKLAHOMA CITY -- FALLIN): Jett Set
  • PENNSYLVANIA 07 (D/UPPER DARBY -- SESTAK): Not Fuming Anymore

    Freshmen

  • FLORIDA 24 (D/ORLANDO -- KOSMAS): Good Genes
  • MINNESOTA 03 (R/BLOOMINGTON -- PAULSEN): A For Meffert
  • NEW JERSEY 03 (D/CHERRY HILL -- ADLER): Right On Runyan's Heels

    Veterans to Watch

  • INDIANA 09 (D/BLOOMINGTON -- HILL) POLL: Planting Sodrel
  • NEW HAMPSHIRE 01 (D/MANCHESTER -- SHEA-PORTER): Dollars And Pence
  • NEW YORK 14 (D/MANHATTAN -- MALONEY): Add This To Her List
  • OHIO 18 (D/CHILLICOTHE -- SPACE): Mr. Blackwell's Style
  • PENNSYLVANIA 06 (R/BRYN MAWR -- GERLACH): You The Manan
  • PENNSYLVANIA 10 (D/WILLIAMSPORT -- CARNEY): When God Gives You Lemmond...
  • PENNSYLVANIA 11 (D/SCRANTON -- KANJORSKI): Where Have You Been All My Life?
  • PENNSYLVANIA 15 (R/BETHLEHEM -- DENT): I'm All Earmarks
  • UTAH 02 (D/SALT LAKE CITY -- MATHESON): That's My Money And I'm Sticking To It

    Other Updates

  • INDIANA 03 (R/FT. WAYNE -- SOUDER): No Unintended Acceleration Here
  • MICHIGAN 13 (D/DETROIT -- KILPATRICK): What's In A Name?
  • MINNESOTA 08 (D/BRAINERD -- OBERSTAR): Social Reasons
  • NEW JERSEY 05 (R/PARAMUS -- GARRETT): You've Tried The Rest, Now Try The Best
  • NEW JERSEY 12 (D/WEST WINDSOR -- HOLT): Earning More Than A Halfacre Of Support

    National Briefing

  • BATTLE FOR THE HOUSE -- POLLS: Tell Me What You See
  • BATTLE FOR THE HOUSE: We've Never Heard Politicians So Quiet
  • NRCC: Medi-Call?

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